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☆ BlackRock plans for ethereum trust fuel speculation about ETF filing
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Suzanne Mcgee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

BlackRock registered the iShares Ethereum Trust as a Delaware statutory trust on Thursday. Earlier this year, BlackRock registered a bitcoin trust in the same manner and a week later filed an application with the SEC to launch a spot bitcoin ETF. BlackRock declined to comment on the trust's creation or on any plans for an ETF filing. To date, roughly a dozen ETF providers have filed to create spot bitcoin ETFs, or convert existing products into spot ETFs, helping fuel the recent rally in the cryptocurrency. Several other ETF providers that have applied for spot bitcoin ETFs also have sought SEC approval for spot ether ETFs, including Ark Investment Management, Invesco and VanEck.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Bitcoin, Gary Gensler, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili, David Evans Organizations: BlackRock, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, SEC, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Ark Investment Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Delaware

☆ Investors spurn options hedges as U.S. stock rally crushes fear
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Fear has plunged in the U.S. equity market following last week's explosive rally, and some options mavens are urging clients to stock up on portfolio protection while it's cheap. Meanwhile, the Cboe Volatility Index (.VIX), known as Wall Street's fear gauge, has tumbled to its lowest level in seven weeks. They recommended taking advantage of the drop in volatility to deploy stock replacement trades, which involve swapping long stock positions for cheap call options that would reap gains if the market continued to rally. Investors' equity positioning fell to a five-month low before last week's rally, Deutsche Bank data showed. With investors less exposed to stocks, "they don't necessarily need to be rushing to get hedges now," Murphy said.

Persons: Matthew Tym, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor's Tym, Chris Murphy, Murphy, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Reuters Graphics, Barclays, Treasury, Susquehanna Financial Group, Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Santa

☆ Gold mining ETFs fail to keep pace with benchmark bullion fund
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Suzanne Mcgee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD.P), which tracks the price of gold, has rallied 9.82% this year, driven by concerns about inflation and economic growth as well as geopolitical turbulence. Yet those gains have not been reflected in the share prices of gold miners: the iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING.O) and the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX.AX), which track the shares of gold producers, are up only 2.28% and 1.7% respectively. "Gold prices can only help so much, if you can't produce the gold in the first place," said Islam. Even Barrick Gold, which reported a 3% gain in gold production in the third quarter, said overall output in 2023 won't meet expectations. "Investors seem very wary of stocks as a whole, and gold miners have been tracking that rather than what's happening in gold itself," said Casanova.

Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Imaru Casanova, Casanova, Roxanna Islam, George Milling, Stanley, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: United States West Point Mint, REUTERS, Gold Miners, World Gold, Gold, Newmont Corp, State Street Global Advisors, Barrick, Thomson Locations: West Point , New York, Mexico

☆ SAS secures $1.2 billion from consortium led by Castlelake, Air France for restructuring
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The tail fin of a parked Scandinavian Airlines (SAS) airplane is seen on the tarmac at Copenhagen Airport Kastrup in Copenhagen, Denmark, July 3, 2022. The winning bidder consortium which also includes Air France-KLM (AIRF.PA), Lind Invest ApS and the Danish state, increased its proposed investment by $25.26 million. The airline's credit agreement for $505.25 million with Castlelake will be used to refinance its loans, increase liquidity and support its exit from voluntary restructuring proceedings, according to the statement. SAS's chief executive, Anko van der Werff, said: "By entering into this investment agreement, SAS is taking the next step in its Chapter 11 process in the U.S."The company now seeks U.S. Court approval of the investment agreement and the new debtor-in-possession financing as soon as possible in November. Castlelake and Lind Invest did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Lind, Castlelake, Anko van der Werff, Gursimran Kaur, Emelia Sithole, Philippa Fletcher, Ira Iosebashvili, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Airlines, SAS, Copenhagen, REUTERS, Scandinavian, Castlelake, Apollo Global Management, Air France, KLM, Lind Invest ApS, Air, U.S, Apollo Global, Lind Invest, Thomson Locations: Copenhagen, Denmark, Danish, Air France, U.S, United States, Bengaluru

☆ Buffett's Berkshire posts bigger loss as stocks fall; operating profit sets record
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-04 | by ( Jonathan Stempel | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Operating profit rose 41% to $10.76 billion, even as Berkshire's net loss more than quadrupled to $12.77 billion. "Against that backdrop it's not surprising that Berkshire's consumer and housing-related subsidiaries are seeing pressure," she said. "Berkshire is disciplined," said Tom Russo, a partner at Gardner Russo & Quinn in Lancaster, Pennsylvania who has owned Berkshire stock since 1982. Berkshire's net results swing widely because accounting rules require the company to report investment gains and losses even if it buys and sells nothing. His $117.5 billion net worth ranks fifth worldwide according to Forbes magazine.

Persons: Rick Wilking, Warren Buffett's, Jim Shanahan, Edward Jones, Cathy Seifert, extol, Buffett, Tom Russo, Gardner Russo, Quinn, Cash, Berkshire's, Ian, Geico, Shanahan, PACIFICORP, Haslam, Jonathan Stempel, Ira Iosebashvili, Jason Neely, Diane Craft Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, REUTERS, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc, Apple, Treasury, BNSF, Clayton Homes ., Berkshire, Forbes, . Berkshire, Thomson Locations: Omaha, U.S, Berkshire, Omaha , Nebraska, Lancaster , Pennsylvania, California, Florida , New Jersey, New York, United States, Israel

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Stock investors see green light in falling Treasury yields
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The relationship between stocks and bonds has been a tight one in recent months, with equities falling as Treasury yields climbed to 16-year highs. Higher yields offer investment competition to stocks while also raising the cost of capital for companies and households. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has surged nearly 6% from its October lows. Draho expects the S&P 500 to trade between 4,200 and 4,600 until investors determine whether the economy will be able to avoid a recession. The S&P 500 was recently up more than 1% on the day.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jason Draho, Draho, Ryan Detrick, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Louise Heavens Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, National Association of Active Investment, CFRA Research, Carson Investment Research, Fed, Apple Inc, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Treasuries

Plenty of bond investors have been burned calling a bottom in a selloff that has taken Treasuries to the cusp of an unprecedented third straight year of losses. One potential near-term pitfall is Friday’s U.S. payrolls data, which could revive expectations of Fed hawkishness if they come in stronger than expected. The rise in Treasury yields has reached far beyond the bond market. The S&P 500 is down nearly 8% from its July high, as rising bond yields offer investment competition to equities while threatening to raise the cost of capital for companies. “The market is running with the idea that the Fed is done hiking, which they may or may not be,” he said.

Persons: Jerome Powell nodded, Bonds, ”, Jack McIntyre, “, ” McIntyre, Stanley Druckenmiller, Duquesne, Bond, Josh Emanuel, Powell, We've, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, ” Wilensky, Noah Wise, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed, U.S . Treasury, Brandywine, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Allspring Global Investments, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wilshire

☆ Wavering ‘Magnificent Seven’ draw bargain-hunters amid U.S. stock sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Surging bond yields and mixed earnings reports have weighed on the so-called Magnificent Seven stocks, which are collectively down an average of about 15% from their 52-week highs, though they all still sit on hefty gains for the year. The stocks now trade at an average forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 30 times compared with 45 times in mid-June. I actually think the Magnificent Seven will hold up better,” said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Wealth Management. Because the Magnificent Seven have a combined weighting of 28% in the S&P 500, their performance holds a large sway over the broader index. Lip said his firm owns shares of all seven companies and has recently added to its holdings in some of them.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Meta, ”, Lip, Jay Hatfield, Kim Forrest, ” Forrest, Apple’s, Hatfield, Thomas Ognar, Ognar, ” Ognar, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: NVIDIA Corp, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Wealth Management, Tech, BofA Global Research, Vanda Research, Federal, Treasury, U.S, Google, Facebook, Bokeh Capital Partners, Nvidia, Allspring, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Cryptoverse: As good as gold? Spot bitcoin ETFs aim to whip up US demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Suzanne Mcgee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Mainstream investment giants such as BlackRock (BLK.N) and Fidelity, as well as crypto-focused firms like Grayscale, have filed applications for spot bitcoin ETFs. U.S. crypto firm NYDIG estimates demand for a spot bitcoin ETF at around $30 billion. Their calculation compares the sizes of the gold and bitcoin ETFs - $210 billion versus $28.8 billion, respectively - and adjusts them for their relative volatility. BlackRock declined to comment on its pending spot bitcoin ETF, other than to confirm that it is still awaiting final SEC approval. His forecast is based on how demand evolved in smaller markets where spot bitcoin ETFs already exist, such as Canada.

Persons: Dado, Dave Mazza, George Gagliardi, cryptocurrencies, bitcoin, Todd Sohn, Steven McClurg, Crypto, Matthew Sigel, Matthew Hougan, Steve Sosnick, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili, Michelle Price Organizations: REUTERS, Roundhill Investments, Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Coromandel Wealth Management, Strategas Securities, Boston Consulting, BlackRock, SEC, Bitwise Investments, Interactive, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Lexington , Massachusetts, Canada

☆ Investors on edge as Middle East conflict intensifies
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-28 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Investors have grown more worried about a widening conflict in recent days after the U.S. dispatched more military assets to the Middle East while Israel attacked targets in Gaza and Hamas supporters in Lebanon and Syria. Some investors also expect a widening conflict could prompt safe-haven buying of Treasuries. "However, an escalation of the conflict would likely shift attention away from monetary policy concerns and boost safe-haven demand for Treasuries." The Cboe Volatility index (.VIX) has climbed in the wake of the conflict and rose on Friday, approaching seven-month highs. The Federal Reserve is set to give its latest monetary policy statement on Wednesday, while Apple's quarterly results highlights another busy week of corporate reports.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, ”, Randy Frederick, Charles Schwab, Brent, Peter Cardillo, Lewis Krauskopf, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Hamas, Investors, U.S, Capital Economics, Spartan Capital Securities, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Gaza, East, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Treasuries, U.S

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Frazzled U.S. stock investors eye frothy Treasury market as Fed looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-28 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. October has lived up to its reputation for volatility, as a surge in Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty pressured stocks. Higher Treasury yields are seen as a headwind to stocks, in part because they compete with equities for buyers. More broadly, some believe the stock market's trading patterns this year point to a rebound in the fourth quarter. "The stock market is poised for a late Q4 rally."

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Sam Stovall, CME's, Alex McGrath, Charlie Ripley, Tesla, Stovall, Ned Davis, Randy Frederick, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Apple Inc, Treasury, Strong U.S, CFRA Research, Investors, U.S, Gross, Fed, Allianz Investment Management, Google, CFRA, Ned Davis Research, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Soaring Treasury yields threaten long-term performance of US stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

This year’s climb in Treasury yields is changing that calculus, as government bonds offer income that is viewed as risk-free to investors who hold them to term. The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed about a full percentage point since then. The term premium is the added compensation investors expect for owning longer-term debt and is measured using financial models. Stocks have averaged a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.8 over the last 10 years, while the term premium has averaged -0.3%. That compares with a historical average forward P/E of 15.6 and a term premium of 1.4% since 1985.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Quincy Krosby, Elon Musk, John Lynch, Lynch, LSEG, Matthew Miskin, Keith Lerner, ” Lerner, Lewis Krauskopf, Dan Burns, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Soaring U.S, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, . Treasury, BofA Global Research, LPL, Comerica Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, John Hancock Investment Management, UBS Global Wealth Management, Advisory, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

The logo for Vanguard is displayed on a screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 1, 2022. Despite a "cruel summer for bond investors," long-term bonds continue to remain attractive as the economy will likely enter a shallow recession next year, the world's second-largest asset manager said in a fixed income outlook seen by Reuters. "The relative advantage short-term government bonds have can fade quickly, and investors can fare better when they lock in higher rates for longer," Vanguard said. Vanguard said it expects interest rates will not be cut until at least mid-2024, and that bond yields will not return to the low levels that characterized the U.S. bond market in recent history. "We view high-quality corporates as one of the more attractive places to be in credit," Vanguard said.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Bill Ackman, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Will Dunham Organizations: Vanguard, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Reuters, U.S, Treasury, Pershing, Capital, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Investors seek shelter as U.S. stocks grow more turbulent
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. Wall Street’s most closely-watched measure of investor nervousness, the Cboe Volatility Index (.VIX), on Friday hit its highest in nearly seven months, as the S&P 500 slid for the week. That has left investors piling into other traditional safe-haven assets such as the dollar and gold, as well as short-term debt. Rising bond yields have dampened risk appetite, raising the cost of capital for companies and offering investment competition to stocks. Geopolitical uncertainties, climbing bond yields and the risk of more losses in stocks means "investors face fresh uncertainties," they wrote.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, “, Jerome Powell, Brent Kochuba, ”, Rick Meckler, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Equity, Treasury, Reuters Graphics, Federal, Microsoft, UBS Global Wealth Management, Swiss, Cherry Lane Investments, UBS, Brent, Thomson Locations: New York, Israel, Cherry Lane Investments .

☆ Falling stocks, climbing mortgage rates: how 5% Treasury yields could roil markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated and mounting U.S. fiscal concerns are among the factors driving the move. Because the $25-trillion Treasury market is considered the bedrock of the global financial system, soaring yields on U.S. government bonds have had wide-ranging effects. "The longer we remain at higher interest rates, the more likely something is to break." Elon Musk warned that high interest rates could sap electric-vehicle demand, which knocked shares of the sector on Thursday. Reuters GraphicsThe U.S. dollar has advanced an average of about 6.4% against its G10 peers since the rise in Treasury yields accelerated in mid-July.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Gennadiy Goldberg, Jerome Powell, Powell, Elon Musk, Tesla’s, gravitating, Athanasios Vamvakidis, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Stephen Coates Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, Reuters, Global Research, Reuters Graphics, ICE, Fed, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Treasuries

Still, some traders interpreted his comments as an endorsement of keeping rates around current levels through most of next year. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury, which move inversely to bond prices, rose briefly to 5% late on Thursday, a closely watched level not seen since 2007. "That gives people the go ahead to take rates above 5%.”Whiteley said that he sees 10-year yields moving as high as 5.5% before peaking. An extended climb in Treasury yields risks exacerbating the pressures that have dogged a broad array of assets in recent months. Still, even if the Fed cuts rates over the next few years, yields could stay above 5% if inflation and growth remain high, he said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Stocks, ”, Greg Whiteley, ” Whiteley, Gennadiy Goldberg, Goldberg, Powell, Sameer Samana, Alan Rechtschaffen, Rechtschaffen, Robert Tipp, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies Organizations: Economic, of New, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, New York Economic, Fed, TD Securities, Wells, Investment Institute, UBS Global Wealth Management, Tipp, Thomson Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, DoubleLine

The Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 1.5X Shares ETF (TSLL.O), the largest single-stock ETF for bullish bets on Tesla's shares, saw net daily inflows of $24.9 million on Thursday, according to Lipper data. Tesla's shares are up 72.3% this year. Tesla was also the most-bought stock among retail traders on Thursday, with net buys of $159.5 million, according to data from Vanda Research. On the other side, two ETFs bearish on Tesla, the $58 million Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares ETF (TSLS.O) and the $109.6 million AXS TSLA Bear Daily ETF (TSLQ.O), saw net outflows of over $1 million each. Rex Shares and Tuttle Capital Management launched a suite of hyper-levered single-stock exposure funds on Thursday, including the T-REX 2X Long Tesla Daily Target ETF (TSLT.O), the T-REX 2X Inverse Tesla Daily Target ETF (TSLZ.O).

Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Todd Sohn, Rex Shares, Bansari Mayur, Ira Iosebashvili, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Strategas Securities, Vanda Research, Tuttle Capital Management, Tesla, Target, Thomson Locations: Oslo, Norway, Victoria, Bengaluru

Felipe Villarroel, portfolio manager at TwentyFour Asset Management, said he recently swapped some 10-year Treasuries for higher yielding 30-year Treasuries. At these levels, yields give “a massive cushion in your total returns" to protect against bond prices falling further, he said. Yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury were over 4.95% in Asia trade on Thursday, their highest level in more than 16 years, and 30-year yields breached 5% this month for the first time since 2007. An auction of 30-year U.S. Treasuries showed weak demand last week, sending yields higher. "The tightness that (bond yields) are imposing on the economy and markets is rising ... this caps the extra work the Fed needs to do," said Smith.

Persons: Jerome Powell, David Rubenstein, Amanda Andrade, Rhoades, Felipe Villarroel, Treasuries, Matt Smith, Ruffer, Buyers, Leslie Falconio, Ruffer's Smith, Smith, Davide Barbuscia, Michelle Price, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Federal, Economic, of Washington, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasuries, TwentyFour Asset Management, Bank of America Global Research, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, BlackRock Investment Institute, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, Asia

☆ Analysis: Wall Street's 'Magnificent Seven' face moment of truth as earnings season arrives
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Valuations have swelled, with the Magnificent Seven trading at an average forward price-to-earnings ratio of 33.5, compared with the S&P 500's P/E of 18.3. “Everybody knows these guys are going to make money," said Sameer Samana, senior global market strategist at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute (WFII), referring to the Magnificent Seven. "The reallocation of funds going forward is going to suggest lower returns and more difficulty for the Magnificent Seven to maintain their leadership." The seven companies' combined market capitalization topped 30% of the S&P 500's overall market value earlier this month, according to LSEG Datastream. Some investors are also drawing distinctions among the seven stocks.

Persons: Aly, Tesla, Sameer Samana, Tajinder Dhillon, Tim Pagliara, CapWealth, Pagliara, Elon Musk, LSEG Datastream, Torsten Slok, Patrick Kaser, Kaser, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Apple, REUTERS, Microsoft, Nvidia, U.S, Tesla, Wells, Investment Institute, Google, Facebook, Federal, Treasury, “, Global, Apollo Global Management, Brandywine Global, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Apple

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Investors zero in on health of consumer with retail sales, earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. Retail sales data, due out on Tuesday, may have to walk a tightrope to satisfy investors. A survey on Friday showed U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated in October, with households expecting higher inflation over the next year. Todd, of Greenwood Capital, is focused on insight from companies about the cumulative effect of "higher inflation and higher rates on the consumer." “The conclusions from the consumer next week, I think, is going to be bad news is good news."

Persons: Carlo Allegri, that’s, Hogan, ”, Walter Todd, Todd, Jack Ablin, Ablin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Procter & Gamble, Netflix, Federal, Riley, ”, Reuters, University of Michigan, Major, Greenwood Capital, Bank of America, America Airlines Group, Treasury, Cresset, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Israel, Major U.S

The 10-year yield on Thursday afternoon stood at about 4.7%, some 18 basis points from the 16-year highs touched last week. “Every time the Fed pauses, yields come down, but the market is not convinced they’re quite there yet." There's plenty of evidence that financial conditions, which reflect the availability of credit in the economy, have tightened in recent months. Credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. Fed funds futures show investors pricing in a roughly 15% chance of the central bank's raising rates next month, from around 27% last week.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, ”, Leslie Falconio, they’re, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Mark Dowding, Goldman Sachs, Edward Al, Hussainy, Neuberger Berman, Jonathan Cohn, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, . Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, Dallas Fed, RBC Global Asset Management, Reuters, Treasury, Columbia, Nasdaq, Nomura Securities International, Thomson

☆ Simplify Asset Management to roll out ETFs based on AI-driven stockpicking
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Suzanne Mcgee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Oct 12 (Reuters) - Simplify Asset Management plans to roll out three new exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that rely on artificial intelligence rather than human beings to select portfolio holdings, adding to a nascent sub-sector that has so far delivered underwhelming results for investors. "A large portion of the investment community remains wary of putting their money into a product that depends on algorithms," Sohn said. The largest fund in this $673.5 million slice of the $7 trillion market for U.S. ETFs is the WisdomTree U.S. AI Enhanced Value Fund (AIVL.P), with net assets of $363.4 million. "I'm not sure the technology is there yet, or that it's speaking to investors,” said Bryan Armour, an ETF analyst at Morningstar. Read NextReporting by Suzanne McGee; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Chris ReeseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Boosted.ai, Todd Sohn, Sohn, AIEQ, I'm, ”, Bryan Armour, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili, Chris Reese Organizations: Management, SEC, Morningstar, Strategas Securities, AI, Equity ETF, Fund, Momentum, Thomson Locations: U.S

☆ Analysis: US stock market technicals suggest possible rebound as earnings, CPI loom
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 has slid about 5% since reaching its late-July high, but so far this month the benchmark index has rebounded. In 12 of those times the S&P 500 was higher six months later, Turnquist said. Reuters GraphicsStocks have tended to perform well at year end -- with November and December logging the second and third-biggest average S&P 500 monthly gains -- though this year the trends may portend even more favorably. That was followed by a 28% rally in the S&P 500 through late July of this year. Further, notes Delwiche, stock market breadth has been weak.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Willie Delwiche, Delwiche, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Thursday’s U.S, Ned, Ned Davis Research, LPL, Reuters Graphics, American, of, Mount Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

Oct 9 (Reuters) - Fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East are threatening more volatility for investors after a painful stretch in U.S. markets. Investors were on guard for the potential of the conflict spreading to embroil other countries, including Iran, and a continued spike in oil prices. Prices for gold, a popular destination for investors during uncertain times, were up 1.2% at $1,854.10 per ounce. Among those is the potential of a rebound in oil prices that could weigh on U.S. economic growth and endanger the so-called soft landing narrative that has helped boost stocks this year. “The worst-case scenario from a geopolitical risk perspective would be a full-scale confrontation between Israel and Iran,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.

Persons: Brent, ”, Mohit Kumar, Tina Fordham, Paul Nolte, Emmanuel Cau, Althea Spinozzi, Naomi Rovnick, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Noel Randewich, Marc Jones, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Jefferies, Fordham Global Foresight, Federal Reserve, Murphy, Sylvest Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Barclays, Mobileye, Intel, Solaredge Technologies, East, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Gaza, Iran, Europe, London, Israel, United States, Germany

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